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ASSET

IRAN CLOSES ITS AIRSPACE BY MAY 31? (YES)

OPENSEA FDV ABOVE $500M ONE DAY AFTER LAUNCH? (YES)

STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRAFFIC RETURNS TO NORMAL BY END OF MAY? (NO)

STRAIT OF HORMUZ TRAFFIC RETURNS TO NORMAL BY MAY 15? (NO)

TRUMP OUT AS PRESIDENT BEFORE GTA VI? (NO)

US X IRAN PERMANENT PEACE DEAL BY MAY 31, 2026? (NO)

WILL ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZ WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? (YES)

WILL BITCOIN HIT $1M BEFORE GTA VI? (NO)

WILL DOMINIQUE DE VILLEPIN WIN THE 2027 FRENCH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL ELON MUSK WIN HIS CASE AGAINST SAM ALTMAN? (NO)

WILL ELON MUSK WIN THE 2028 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? (NO)

WILL FRANCE WIN THE 2026 FIFA WORLD CUP? (YES)

WILL FRANÇOIS HOLLANDE WIN THE 2027 FRENCH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL GABRIEL ATTAL WIN THE 2027 FRENCH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL GAVIN NEWSOM WIN THE 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? (YES)

WILL GAVIN NEWSOM WIN THE 2028 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL ISRAEL WIN EUROVISION 2026? (NO)

WILL ITALY WIN EUROVISION 2026? (YES)

WILL J.D. VANCE WIN THE 2028 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? (NO)

WILL JD VANCE WIN THE 2028 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (NO)

WILL JESUS CHRIST RETURN BEFORE 2027? (NO)

WILL JESUS CHRIST RETURN BEFORE GTA VI? (NO)

WILL KEN PAXTON WIN THE 2026 TEXAS REPUBLICAN PRIMARY? (YES)

WILL MARCO RUBIO WIN THE 2028 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION? (YES)

WILL MARCO RUBIO WIN THE 2028 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL MARINE LE PEN WIN THE 2027 FRENCH PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? (YES)

WILL OPENAI’S MARKET CAP BE BETWEEN $1T AND $1.25T AT MARKET CLOSE ON IPO DAY? (YES)

WILL SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER WIN THE 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (YES)

WILL SWEDEN WIN EUROVISION 2026? (YES)

WILL THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY CONTROL THE HOUSE AFTER THE 2026 MIDTERM ELECTIONS? (YES)

WILL THE IRANIAN REGIME FALL BEFORE 2027? (YES)

WILL THE IRANIAN REGIME FALL BY JUNE 30? (NO)

WILL THE US CONFIRM THAT ALIENS EXIST BEFORE 2027? (NO)

WILL TRUMP ACQUIRE GREENLAND BEFORE 2027? (NO)

WILL TRUMP PARDON GHISLAINE MAXWELL BY END OF 2026? (NO)

XI JINPING OUT BEFORE 2027? (NO)